Sensitivity Analysis
Methods Applied to Exposure or Risk Assessment Models
Course
Instructor Biographical Sketches
When should you perform sensitivity analysis? How do you prepare a model to facilitate sensitivity analysis? What are key considerations in the development of scenarios that are the basis for sensitivity analysis? What are some typical sensitivity analysis methods and how can you select among them? How should particular sensitivity analysis methods be applied? How should the results of sensitivity analysis be presented and interpreted? How are the methods applied to exposure or risk assessment model for identifying susceptible subpopulation and important pathways? This workshop will answer these questions. The methods and case studies that will be presented in this workshop are based upon several years of research at NC State University regarding transferring, applying, and adapting sensitivity analysis methods developed in other disciplines (e.g. complex engineering systems) to quantitative exposure and risk assessment models. One of the outcomes of this research is a guidance document regarding selection, application, and interpretation of sensitivity analysis methods applied to quantitative risk assessment models. This workshop helps practitioners in selecting specific sensitivity analysis methods that are relevant to a particular case study and to the characteristics of the model. Practitioners can also use the instructions in the workshop to aid in interpreting results from a sensitivity analysis in response to a particular modeling objective. Workshop participants will be provided with course notes, a copy of the guidance document, and a tutorial with examples for instructing attendees how to perform sensitivity analysis using common sensitivity analysis methods. The methods will also be illustrated with two practical case study examples. This workshop is aimed at practitioners who are already familiar with basic concepts of statistics and probabilistic simulation and who wish to refine their knowledge regarding sensitivity analysis methods.
Presenters:
Dr. Amirhossein Mokhtari
This workshop builds upon research in areas of sensitivity
analysis and related topics at
The registration fee is $295 before 3 November, or $355 on site. You do not need to register for the Annual Meeting to attend the workshop. Registration will be handled by
Secretariat sra@burkinc.com
Society for Risk Analysis http://depts.washington.edu/irarc/www.sra.org
1313 Dolley
703-790-1745, fax 703-790-2672
The event will be held
Renaissance Harborplace Hotel
Phone: 1-410-547-1200
1-800-535-1201
Fax: 1-410-539-5780
http://marriott.com/property/propertypage/BWISH
The SRA Annual Meeting will be held at the
Renaissance Innerharbor Hotel. For reservations call
(410-547-1200), or 1-800-535-1201, fax, (410) 539-5780, or for online
reservations (
http://marriott.com/property/propertypage/bwish?groupCode=srasraa&app=resvlink
). Rates for this meeting are $145 Single/Double plus tax and are
available three days prior and after the meeting dates of
Dr. Amirhossein Mokhtari. Dr. Amirhossein Mokhtari is now post-doc research fellow in the Department of Food Science at NC State University, and he conducts his research under the supervision of Dr. Lee-Ann Jaykus. Dr. Mokhtari worked under supervision of Dr Frey during his Ph.D. program at NC State University. His research is focused on developing quantitative microbial risk assessment models. Dr. Mokhtari has an extensive experience in application and evaluation of sensitivity analysis methods to quantitative exposure and risk assessment models. Dr. Mokhtari has been participating in preparing up to four technical reports to government agencies such as USDA and USEPA as a lead author or co-author. These projects have resulted in numerous peer-reviewed journal publications.
contact Dr. Mokhtari at “amirh357
at yahoo.com” where “ at ” designates “@”
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